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Tag Archives: French election

Two Market Giants Tried to Create a $75 Billion Mega-Exchange; The Mystery of the Stubbornly-Low Volatility Index Is Deepening; Ex-Credit Suisse Trader Lures $1.6 Billion of Client Cash Newsletter,Options

Lead Stories Two Market Giants Tried to Create a $75 Billion Mega-Exchange Matthew Leising – Bloomberg CME, ICE discussed a merger after Deutsche Boerse-LSE’s deal; They’re no longer negotiating, unclear why talks broke down The world’s biggest exchanges are still looking for deals even though the merger of Deutsche Boerse AG and London Stock Exchange Group Plc was scuttled by European regulators. jlne.ws/2pxJcnX ****SD: Speaking of tie-ups, there was this story about a potential deal last week from Business Insider – TCI’s Chris Hohn on LSE – ICE deal The Mystery of the Stubbornly-Low Volatility Index Is Deepening Dani Burger…

The market’s risky bet on stability; Bets on a stock market rally using options just hit record levels; Euro Is Suddenly Everyone’s Favorite After First Round of French Election Newsletter,Options

Observations & Insight Did you know? Jim Kharouf and Spencer Doar – JLN Moscow, OneChicago, MexDer, Fear Gauge and Trump Street with an Irish twist. No, they are not connected. One of the interesting things about updating annual volume figures on our MarketsWiki site is the snapshot of how a particular exchange has been doing over a number of years. The FIA Annual Volume Survey shows a couple of unusual suspects in the top 5 in 2016 with the National Stock Exchange of India coming in second and the Moscow Exchange at number four in terms of derivatives volumes. At…

Implementation of SA-CCR Important For Liquid and Orderly Listed Options Markets; Seventeen years after 5,000, Nasdaq tops 6,000; What Markets Should Conclude From France’s Election Newsletter,Options

Observations & Insight Other VIXes Spencer Doar – JLN Of all the CBOE’s products, none gets media attention like the VIX. But CBOE has plenty of other VIX products, ranging from the BPVIX (CBOE/CME FX British Pound Volatility Index) to the GVZ (CBOE Gold ETF Volatility Index). The VIX plummeted yesterday to the 10 handle after the results of the first round of the French election were interpreted as positive (VIX is around 10.6 as of this writing). The media will sometimes give markets the gloss over treatment, look at the VIX and only the VIX, and declare “where’s the…

Anxiety Dissipates After First Ballot; Expectations for euro-dollar, US stock volatility plummet; The Downside of Managing Downside Risk Newsletter,Options

Observations & Insight Last week’s notables A lot happened last week in the options space. If anybody didn’t follow the week’s developments, here’s a little recap. Big trends are continuing in the market making world. I wouldn’t say they are good. First, Interactive Brokers revealed in its earnings that the firm’s market making operations lost $22 million in Q1. (Remember that the company revealed a bit ago that they were shuttering their options market making operations — some of this loss is restructuring costs.) Second, the KCG/Virtu deal was agreed upon for $1.4 billion. It’s getting hard out there and…

Here’s What Analysts Are Saying About the First Round of French Elections; Charts Show Traders Writing Down Chances of a Le Pen Presidency; OCC seeks leverage ratio relief as liquidity shrinks John Lothian Newsletter,Newsletter

First Read The future of futures markets: Exchanges looking to fail fast By Jim Kharouf, JLN Andreas Preuss, deputy CEO, Deutsche Boerse had a show stopper. At the IOMA: World Federation Exchanges conference in Frankfurt on Friday, he said his exchange will have to speed up its business processes exponentially in the next two to three years in order to thrive. Implementing products and services from beginning to release will go from today’s 18 months to 4 days. Yes, you read that correctly. And no, no one in the audience was laughing. “The old way was seven months of iterations…

Chinese Backers Planning Singapore’s Third Derivatives Exchange; Some Big Bond Managers Are Buying Volatility Again; Credit Suisse has its own ‘Fear Barometer,’ and it’s flashing red Newsletter,Options

Observations & Insight Editor’s Note Due to the Good Friday holiday, there will be no JLN Options newsletter tomorrow. We will be back in action on Monday. Have a great weekend! Lead Stories Chinese Backers Planning Singapore’s Third Derivatives Exchange Bloomberg Singapore may be set to get a third derivatives exchange, this time backed by China. If the new bourse, which would be called Apex, goes ahead, it would be operated by Asia Investment Pte, according to people with knowledge of the matter. Asia Investment is majority-owned by former China Financial Futures Exchange and Dalian Commodity Exchange chief Eugene Zhu…

The Great US Options Octopus; The 2017 Short Trade That’s Getting Pummelled This Week; Options Traders’ `Butterfly’ Bets Signal Oil Rally Not Over Newsletter,Options

Lead Stories The Great US Options Octopus The Trade Derivatives – Spring 2017 The US options market is a conundrum. Although volumes have remained flat over the past five years, the number of exchanges has expanded to 14, with the potential of another opening just around the corner. During this time the number of market-makers has dropped dramatically, from about 60 market-makers quoting on multiple exchanges five years ago to only 15 today. /goo.gl/I8jV9V ****SD: This is a link to the page 46 of the magazine where the story starts. Nice encapsulation of the issues although due to production turnaround…

French political risk finally shows in equity markets; The Best Trump Trade No One Expected; January Options Volume Remains Anemic Although Market Quality Improves Newsletter,Options

Lead Stories French political risk finally shows in equity markets Kit Rees – Reuters A spike in expectations of European equity market volatility around the first round of France’s presidential election suggests investors are belatedly starting to worry about the outcome and potential price swings. reut.rs/2kGHYSs ****SD: Bloomberg – Hedging Costs for French Stocks at 5-Year High to Europe: Chart. The election is April 23. The Best Trump Trade No One Expected Sumit Roy – ETF.com What’s the best-performing trade since Donald Trump was elected president? Even today, with the benefit of hindsight, a lot of people might not know….

Don’t Believe Options Traders; Europe’s Volatility Curve Is Getting Kinky Ahead of French Vote; Trump’s dollar paradox promises roller-coaster ride for currencies Newsletter,Options

Observations & Insight January Marketshare via OCC ++++++ On another note, check out what the VIX momentarily did after the Fed yesterday: Here’s a closer breakdown of the action from the CBOE: Time Index Quote 12:59:56 p.m. CT   11.50 1:00:11 p.m. CT      9.97 1:00:26 p.m. CT     11.53 ++++++ CBOE VIX index briefly broke below 10 after Federal Reserve decision Fred Imbert – CNBC Something strange happened to Wall Street’s so-called fear index on Wednesday. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), widely considered the best gauge of fear in the market, broke below 10 for less than a minute Wednesday at…