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Tag Archives: fiscal cliff

You Can’t Play Jenga With a House of Cards Commentary,Financials

Jenga

My esteemed colleague Doug Ashburn (who by-and-large knows more than me about things economic) wrote a piece yesterday about whether the “America” brand is still alive and well on the world stage despite recent budget shenanigans in Congress. I agree that overall, the brand has survived the latest round of Russian Roulette, and I’ll go one step further to suggest that the brand will continue to remain intact no matter what Congress threatens to do in the future, so long as they don’t actually go so far as to default. The reason I’m so sure about it, is that much…

JLN Options: Options Traders Discard Safety Net as Stocks Rise Newsletter,Options

Lead Stories Options Traders Discard Safety Net as Stocks RiseKaitlyn Kiernan, The Wall Street JournalIn the new year, options traders seem to have settled on a resolution: no more hedging for the worst. http://jlne.ws/10uja49**TD Ameritrade’s Joe Kinahan: “What we know about the government is that they like to push everything to the last minute.”   Uh huh. — SR FX options clearing analysis in final stagesJoel Clark, Risk MagazineThe GFMA’s global forex division is understood to be close to completion of its analysis of five years of options trading data – a project that is intended to lead to a…

JLN Options: 2012: The Year In VIX And Volatility Newsletter,Options

Lead Stories 2012: The Year In VIX And VolatilityBill Luby, Seeking AlphaEvery year I assemble a chart that is my retrospective look at the year in volatility. While 2012 was the first year since 2006 that the VIX failed to make it out of the 20s, this was not due to an absence of threats to the stock market.http://jlne.ws/VAaBQv  Be Careful for What You Wish For  While clichés fly, stocks’ dependence upon easy Fed policies remains after fiscal cliff is sidestepped.  Randall W. Forsyth, Barron’sIn its annual list of words that ought to be banished from the English language compiled by…

JLN Options: Volatility Plunges, But Math Still Suggests ‘Shock’ is Coming: MKM Newsletter,Options

Lead Stories Volatility Plunges, But Math Still Suggests ‘Shock’ is Coming: MKMBy Brendan Conway, BarronsAs stock indexes surge Wednesday, the market’s worry barometers are plunging. And yet for MKM Partners’ derivatives strategist Jim Strugger, the math of stock-market volatility still shows plenty of embedded risk.http://jlne.ws/VufurW Vix Futures Set New Single-Day Volume Record [December 31, 2012]Press ReleaseCHICAGO, IL – December 31, 2012 – The CBOE Futures Exchange, LLC (CFE) announced today that CBOE Volatility Index (VIX index) futures set a new single-day volume record of 212,800 contracts (estimated) today. The new daily record eclipsed the previous single-day record of 190,081 contracts…

JLN Options: Fiscal cliff uncertainty stirs Vix volatility Newsletter,Options

Fiscal cliff uncertainty stirs Vix volatilityDow Jones NewswiresThe market’s so-called fear gauge vaulted above a closely watched level Thursday on “fiscal-cliff” anxiety, before soothing news pulled the Vix down and diminished deep stock-market declines late in the day. With less than five days remaining to reach a budget agreement to advert the fiscal cliff, the Chicago Board Options Exchange’s Volatility Index Thursday jumped to the highest intra-day level since July – before pulling a remarkable turnaround to highlight investor indecisiveness.http://jlne.ws/12Uj7vN Call Ratio Trades in SPDR Gold Trust (GLD)The Options InsiderPosted by Andrew Giovinazzi in Unusual ActivityShares of the SPDR Gold…

JLN Options: ICE to buy NYSE Euronext for roughly $8.2 billion Newsletter,Options

Lead Stories ICE to buy NYSE Euronext for roughly $8.2 billionBen Fox, MarketWatchIntercontinentalExchange Inc. ICE agreed to buy fellow exchange NYSE Euronext NYX in a roughly $8.2 billion cash-and-stock deal, in a merger that will vastly expand ICE’s profile.http://jlne.ws/SZ2AFZ** ICE is the relative newcomer that sprang up in 2000 and only 12 years later is taking over the world. Jeffrey Sprecher has been a force to be reckoned with ever since he knocked the socks off of everyone at FIA Boca by challenging the CME’s bid to acquire the CBOT. — SR NYSE sale to ICE and the death of…

JLN Options: Brokers Face Off Against Exchanges at Today’s Senate Hearing Newsletter,Options

Lead Stories Brokers Face Off Against Exchanges at Today’s Senate HearingPeter Chapman, Traders MagazineRepresentatives from two exchanges and two broker-dealers will likely air their differences today during a hearing hosted by the Senate Banking Committee.http://jlne.ws/12AhROv Derivatives traders optimistic for 2013, according to Risk.net pollRisk.netThe majority of respondents to a Risk.net poll expect to make more money from derivatives trading next year, despite the onset of new regulations in 2013 and continuing problems in the eurozone.http://jlne.ws/ZiRC15**Nice to know that “things can’t get much worse than 2012.” — SR ‘Un-Volatility’ Funds Hit Fresh Lifetime HighsBrendan Conway, Barron’sThere’s an incredibly wide array of,…

JLN Options: European Trading Volumes Rise Before Last Options Expiry Newsletter,Options

Lead Stories European Trading Volumes Rise Before Last Options ExpiryNandini Sukumar & Adria Cimino, BloombergEuropean trading volumes surged as investors prepared for the last options expiry of 2012 amid optimism that U.S. President Barack Obama and Republicans will agree on a budget.http://jlne.ws/R3wl6T**  Where did the year go? –JB Credit Suisse To Reverse-Split TVIX  Cinthia Murphy, IndexUniverseCredit Suisse, the Switzerland-based investment bank and asset manager, will serve up a 1-for-10 reverse split on the VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX Short Term ETN (NYSEArca: TVIX) on Dec. 21, after the notes lost almost all their value in the past year.http://jlne.ws/R3w9Ex NYSE executive says exchanges…

JLN Options: No Nervousness on ‘Fiscal Cliff,’ but It’s a Headwind Newsletter,Options

Lead Stories No Nervousness on ‘Fiscal Cliff,’ but It’s a HeadwindBob Pisani, CNBCSo the spread between the cash VIX (roughly 16) and the most active front month contract (February, at roughly 17) is about 100 basis points. The normal spread is at least 200 basis points. Not only is there no worry, but there is less demand for protection than might be expected.http://jlne.ws/STnlRf The Biggest Waste of Money in 2012Dan Caplinger, The Motley FoolSmart investors understand that in order to earn healthy returns, you have to be willing to take on risk. But along the way, some investors decided that…